WP Sustainable Futures
The Mistra SAMS program spans a broad area of topics. Results from the work packages and from Phase 1 of Mistra SAMS are important foundations for this work package on sustainable futures
In practice, therefore, the work package will serve as a basis for consolidating the program, even if this is not its main aim.
The work package will be innovative in that it combines futures studies methodologies, specifically backcasting, with systems dynamics. Systems dynamics was developed as a tool for analyzing complex systems where the behavior of the parts cannot satisfactorily explain the behavior of the system as a whole.
Task SF1: Causal-loop diagram
The aim of this task is to identify and analyze the most important causal relations affecting the environmental sustainability with a specific focus on energy-use and greenhouse gas emissions.
Read more about Causal-loop diagrams here.
Task SF2: Systems-dynamics modeling
The aim of this task is to explore the transport system in the region through systems-dynamics modeling, using Vensim software (preliminary choice).
Task SF3: Target-fulfilling images of the future
The aim of this WP is to develop target-fulfilling images of the future which highlight important opportunities and risks connected to relevant possible developments. Topics under discussion will revolve around the question “How can future platform-based transport systems fulfill targets of climate neutrality and social justice?”.